Webberweather53
Meteorologist
I know we usually dedicate these threads to mainland US threats or almost exclusively Atlantic tropical cyclones, but given that the Atlantic is dead as a doornail atm and Fernanda may pose a legitimate threat to a US state (Hawaii) sometime very late next week plus it's liable to become a very photogenic storm in a day or two, it's likely worth putting up a thread for...
Latest RGB shows a primitive eye shrouded by a moderate-deep central dense overcast near the center of circulation and outflow is impressive in all directions surrounding the storm, and w/ SSTs near 29C, low shear, and ample moisture, Fernanda should have little trouble rapidly intensifying into a major hurricane within the next 24-36 hours as it moves south of due west underneath a sprawling subtropical ridge off the coast of California... The question thereafter remains whether it's a legitimate threat to the Hawaiian islands and most of this hinges not only on Fernanda's intensity and structure the next several days (i.e. annular vs stereotypical hurricane), but also on a weak upper level trough that will be digging off the southwestern US and Baja California and back southwestward towards the central Pacific later next week... Both the European and GFS bring Fernanda (or what's left of it) awfully close to the island chain late in the week, in which case it would more than likely dissipate if it came too close to the islands...
Post away!
Latest RGB shows a primitive eye shrouded by a moderate-deep central dense overcast near the center of circulation and outflow is impressive in all directions surrounding the storm, and w/ SSTs near 29C, low shear, and ample moisture, Fernanda should have little trouble rapidly intensifying into a major hurricane within the next 24-36 hours as it moves south of due west underneath a sprawling subtropical ridge off the coast of California... The question thereafter remains whether it's a legitimate threat to the Hawaiian islands and most of this hinges not only on Fernanda's intensity and structure the next several days (i.e. annular vs stereotypical hurricane), but also on a weak upper level trough that will be digging off the southwestern US and Baja California and back southwestward towards the central Pacific later next week... Both the European and GFS bring Fernanda (or what's left of it) awfully close to the island chain late in the week, in which case it would more than likely dissipate if it came too close to the islands...
Post away!
