Based on that, we'll have two solid weeks of snow in Gainesville the entire time I'm in Tokyo at Christmas, given the track record ...
In short! JB has canceled winter in the SE. Time to move on to next winter
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Wintry Winter 2017-18 discussion
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What model is that?
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It's the SE winter cancel model
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In short! JB has canceled winter in the SE. Time to move on to next winter
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This is the best news of the day so far. If JB is saying warm for us we all know to expect the opposite. I hope he goes full torch for us
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Im not worried at all about this winter. All it takes is one good cold front to meet our strom. I bet next month will be different with modle outlook for winter
^Actually, that isn't a mild SE fcast as temps are only within 1F of norm, which means way colder than last one.
Yep exactly! The winter of 2010-11 was the last time he forecasted a warm winter for us and we all know how that turned out.
That was the best winter ever in recent times. Not only did we get a rare white Christmas, but we had a total of 3 storms in one winter, despite one only dropping an inch and the Christmas storm dropping 4" and the January one 8".
If I remember right, 13-14' was also supposed to be a warm winter as well. We know what happened from late December though January.
We had 3-4" for Christmas 2" plus ice from the January storm and an inch from one in February. Then we had two or three more snow shower days.
going be hard to get a good cold front penetrate that ridge... if that verifies... going be nice battle zone setip for winter severe outbreak chances... to be honest
Lol, your a severe freak anyways i bet thats what you want. I still dont thing the ridge will be that bad as models point out to be. I still believe this year will end up colder than last year plus better winter storm potential
I agree. It seems that winter forecasts rarely verify from big outlets. Plus, it's a weather model. It's August. What are the chances of will be exactly like that in a month? Also, above average doesn't mean the end of the world.
In short! JB has canceled winter in the SE. Time to move on to next winter
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This is why using broad based analogs fail so bad. That is not a warm winter even if that is correct. A week or two of decent above average temps can easily skew a winter a half degree above normal.
Since on August 12th folks seem intent on discussing a winter forecast, I'm offering a mid-winter thought ...
Will take it any year!
Thanks for shaking the old cobwebs, Webb!
That's what she said!Since on August 12th folks seem intent on discussing a winter forecast, I'm offering a mid-winter thought ...
Some photos from January 1966. The January 29-30, 1966 snowstorm was accompanied by record cold temperatures.
