Pattern January Thread - The Final Chapter

[ForsythSnow]

Looking more juicy on 12z GFS.

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Yes indeed it does. If this continues, there could be a nice light event.

 

[Storm5]

12z gfs wants to excite us days 8-10

sharpen the western ridge and we are in business

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[GeorgiaGirl]

The gulf system itself doesn't come up but you can see on the 500 MB maps it interact with the clipper a lot, that's certainly an interesting new development.

 

[Shawn]

Fee-Fi-Fo-Fum, I'm the Northern Branch and I've come to crush you.

 

[Storm5]

I'm getting more and more interested in days 7-10

just need a little sharper ridge

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[Shawn]

850s suck. but we shall see. Looks like if precip breaks out after that frame, it'd be more icy in nature for many.

 

[Storm5]

850s suck. but we shall see. Looks like if precip breaks out after that frame, it'd be more icy in nature for many.

they are alot better than they first look

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[GeorgiaGirl]

If anything that looks like a potentially nice upper south event if it stays intact.

 

[Storm5]

Very interested to see the gfs ensembles and what they show days 7-10

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[SnowHusky]

I'm getting more and more interested in days 7-10

just need a little sharper ridge

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You would think there would be a sharper ridge with that 1041mb high sitting there.

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[Storm5]

lol the gfs is stupid cold in the LR

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[whatalife]

Charlie...I agree...you sharpen that trough and we have a nice storm on our hands.




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[GaWx]

Prediction: based on the GEFS mean 850's/qpf, you're going to like what some of the members show for 1/29-31. Mean qpf of note is significantly further north than prior GEFS runs for that period while mean 850's aren't warmer. I bet there are going to be some interesting members shown when they're released. That's the benefit of the mean trough being centered further west near the Mississippi Valley.

 

[ATLwxfan]

lol the gfs is stupid cold in the LR

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Holy hell. That's the pendulum swinging back with a fury.


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[SnowHusky]

Not just the ridge out west will help sharpen the ridge...the ridge out in the Atlantic also plays a role. It does bulge to the north and west making that trough dig deeper.

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[packfan98]

12z GEFS is picking up on the super clipper idea for the 1/30-1/31 timeframe:

 

[Storm5]

Holy hell. That's the pendulum swinging back with a fury.


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I can't speak to you until you burn that damn sled. I'm sorry , let me know when you have video proof lol

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[whatalife]

Give me some of the 12z GEFS!


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[SnowHusky]

The 12z CMC has a sharper ridge. I think it's going to start to get interesting over the next few days.

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[Storm5]

Prediction: based on the GEFS mean 850's/qpf, you're going to like what some of the members show for 1/29-31. Mean qpf of note is significantly further north than prior GEFS runs for that period while mean 850's aren't warmer. I bet there are going to be some interesting members shown when they're released. That's the benefit of the mean trough being centered further west near the Mississippi Valley.

wow it's a big improvement on the gefs days 6-12 . Very active

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