Brent
Member
hmmmmm some of those EPS were interesting
So more of a coastal threat now?Height falls over Fl at D5 should bend Maria back NW for a time
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Nah not yet. But if Jose gets out of the picture and we lose that NE track from d3-5 the coastal threat becomes more realisticSo more of a coastal threat now?
Now that got my attention lolThe increase in EPS spread isn't that surprising given the models continue to back down on the intensity of Jose in the longer term and thus are breaking down the steering currents over Maria after day 4. This is why we needed to wait until about Friday or so before feeling confident about an OTS route and confidence is degrading once more
I am sure there are a lot of eyebrows raising at the NHC.Now that got my attention lol
The slower it gets, the higher the chance of a curve toward land it seems. The NAVGEM illustrates that perfectly. Also... Yikes.What a tough forecast to be honest, conventional wisdom says OTS, but there is some real possibilities of this getting closer and closer to the coast.
Yeah just as she was looking symmetrical again she hit a wall, pancaked the west sideLooks like she's getting blasted by some shear attm...pretty ragged.
Still a few along the coast but overall offshoreWhat did the individual EPS members look like this am?