Brent
Member
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Pattern November Knock-Out
- Thread starter ForsythSnow
- Start date
whatalife
Moderator
Yep, it's sure a beauty! (NOT!)
It’s the 18z GFS. We toss it. Dilly Dilly
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It'll nail this or even go warmer! That's how we roll, GFS silly
Dilly Dilly! I love a good front-loaded winter! They rock!
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Euro weeklies look absolutely amazing after day 10 right on into Christmas & early January. One can certainly hope...
- Joined
- Jan 5, 2017
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A beautiful day even with the occasional clouds... woke up to 31.1 this morning and made it to 58.6 this afternoon! Couldn't ask for much better weather than that for Thanksgiving! Hope everyone spent more time enjoying the holiday and being thankful than complaining about things beyond their control (aka the weather)! :-D
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Reminds me of Early December 1998 when we had that big warm spell. We all know how that winter turned outYep, it's sure a beauty! (NOT!)
You didn't go back home to Alabama to see your folks ?it was a beautiful Thanksgiving though and I ate entirely too much
whatalife
Moderator
Cad Wedge NC
Member
Well, This won't happen unless the forecasted indices (AO and NAO) change dramatically between now and then. Southeast ridge doesn't happen with a -NAO. Toss it for now....Yep, it's sure a beauty! (NOT!)
Dilly dilly don't look at the END it's ugly. I'm riding Larry when he says the cold is coming second half of Decmeber
The weeklies are SEXY!!!
cd2play
Member
Dilly dilly that southeast ridge can't last forever really really (at least I don't think it will)
pcbjr
Member
Actually so is the most recent Jamstec, which is concerning, if not disconcerting ...
Brent
Member
Hey, easy! That riding business is for another forum, or another time!
That's the best time of year to take a vacation if you wanna see snow. Most areas even up north don't get much snow until January.
cd2play
Member
That's what she saidHey, easy! That riding business is for another forum, or another time!
WeatherWatch
Member
0z GFS is coming in colder on the 30th into early December than the 12z Euro.
GeorgiaGirl
Member
I wonder if I should pay attention to the goofus at all if it's going to be this different from run to run.
I agree with Charlie that the Euro weeklies look downright delicious for much of the 2nd half of Dec fwiw. They look far better than the prior run (Monday run). Keep in mind that the Euro has a pretty potent warm bias. I'm pumped for possibilities. At the very least it is not at all a warm pattern from midmonth on. At best, much of the SE is cold and also gets a storm or two to track in the last half of Dec. Potentially exciting times coming to a SE town near you starting in ~3 weeks.
The CFSv2 is similar except it has cold starting by 12/10, a real possibility considering the Euro's warm bias and tendency to delay a pattern change to colder. Warning: these same weeklies suggest a several day torch just preceding this colder change. I hope that folks could handle this shortlived torch.
The CFSv2 is similar except it has cold starting by 12/10, a real possibility considering the Euro's warm bias and tendency to delay a pattern change to colder. Warning: these same weeklies suggest a several day torch just preceding this colder change. I hope that folks could handle this shortlived torch.
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