Severe Severe Threat April 5th-7th

[Storm5]

Probably for days 3-8 they keep it once a day. I wouldn't put much stock into days 3-8 anyway on the SPC maps, except for event areas and timing really. Strength of the event should be in better picture by tomorrow evening I feel.

I don't put much stock in SPC days 1-2 to be happy honest . I was just wondering I thought they updated Day 3 twice a day


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[RollTide18]

You guys think we'll see an upgrade to Moderate?

 

[tennessee storm]

You guys think we'll see an upgrade to Moderate?

yes i wouldnt be suprise to see that by early wed mornings update

 

[Storm5]

I wouldn't be shocked if they go moderate in one of the updates tomorrow


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[tennessee storm]

I'm no met and severe weather isn't really my thing but I don't agree with that at all. Almost all guidance is showing a fairly volatile atmosphere after the morning storms which by the way will be booking it NE . It's not like the models are showing a slow progression with the morning storms . If that were the case I could see the argument that they might stabilize the atmosphere some. But that's not the case


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agree 100 percent... atmosphere looks vilotale say the least... look for some pretty significant changes by spc as we draw closer

 

[NorthBamaWeather]

The afternoon threat would favor Northeast/North Central Alabama and NW Georgia.

 

[stormcentral]

Concerning for me in Bradley County TN right on the border of NW GA. First alert!

 

[RollTide18]

The afternoon threat would favor Northeast/North Central Alabama and NW Georgia.

What about the Montgomery area as it pertains to the Afternoon threat?

 

[Phillip l]

The afternoon threat would favor Northeast/North Central Alabama and NW Georgia.

Is that for tue? When may the Atlanta area see something?

 

[WeatherLC]

Is that for tue? When may the Atlanta area see something?

No. they are talking about Wednesday

 

[Phillip l]

No. they are talking about Wednesday

Ok, thank you. I misunderstood. Just trying to see if the threat is going to move into ga on tuesday, I know Wednesday is going to be nuts.

 

[NorthBamaWeather]

What about the Montgomery area as it pertains to the Afternoon threat?

More than likely a little far South as the Low will lifting off to the NE

 

[Storm5]

18z NAM late Wednesday afternoon

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[WeatherLC]

Ok, thank you. I misunderstood. Just trying to see if the threat is going to move into ga on tuesday, I know Wednesday is going to be nuts.

Yeah man I'm cautiously curious to see what Wednesday is going to bring. North of the city usually ends up being pretty safe, but we will see.

 

[NorthBamaWeather]

00Z NAM is weaker overall for late afternoon, but still shows the threat in Northeast Alabama

 

[NorthBamaWeather]

A very brief window

 

[Storm5]

Cape values are still loaded

Shear is a damn mess


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[DadOfJax]

but but but.....they said if we get through today's event, Wed. will be a biggie....lol....get outta here!

 

[NorthBamaWeather]

Difference between NAM at 18z and 00z is 18z is negative tilted and 00z is neutral

 

[Tarheel1]

Cape values are still loaded

Shear is a damn mess


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What's the big hole over western Carolinas? The wedge?