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Misc 2017 Banter/venting thread

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pcbjr said:
One heck of a mid-January map - snow, anyone?
that is way off, i know there was a lot of heavy snow and winter storm warnings going on yesterday out west where that shows nothing

Screen_Shot_2017_01_21_at_6_47_25_PM.png
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Alright folks, let's upload some avatars! I'm tired of seeing the lightning bolt for half the posters. I can't keep the names straight. I need pictures!
 
packfan98 said:
Alright folks, let's upload some avatars! I'm tired of seeing the lightning bolt for half the posters. I can't keep the names straight. I need pictures!
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That was the thinking behind the bolt of doom avatar. People would hate it and want to change it, haha!
 
Does anyone else find it funny that yesterday storms weren't as severe in South Carolina because it never got as warm as everyone predicted? Yet when we want snow, the temps never get as cold as everyone expected. Granted, I am glad they were wrong about yesterday, but just goes to show noone knows exactly what mother nature will do.
 
Flo said:
Does anyone else find it funny that yesterday storms weren't as severe in South Carolina because it never got as warm as everyone predicted? Yet when we want snow, the temps never get as cold as everyone expected. Granted, I am glad they were wrong about yesterday, but just goes to show noone knows exactly what mother nature will do.
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Only takes one.

000
NWUS52 KCAE 222045
LSRCAE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
345 PM EST SUN JAN 22 2017

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0352 PM TORNADO 3 SSW BLACKVILLE 33.32N 81.31W
01/21/2017 BARNWELL SC COUNTY OFFICIAL

*** 1 INJ ***
MOBILE HOME DESTROYED AT PLEASANT HOME RD
AND HWY 3. A FEMALE INSIDE THE MOBILE HOME
WAS TRAPPED, RESCUED AND TRANSPORTED TO THE
HOSPITAL. EXTENT OF INJURIES UNKNOWN AT THIS
TIME.


&&

$$

RJO
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I was just thinking to myself that southern wx should have a thread or something related to the solar eclipse that's going to occur this August. I know I'm extremely excited and have been looking forward to it for at least five years. My area is close to one of the best viewing sites in America and well go completely dark for 2 minutes and 30 seconds I believe. Anyways just thought I'd throw the idea out there as it's sure to be a heavily discussed topic as we get closer.
 
olhausen said:
I was just thinking to myself that southern wx should have a thread or something related to the solar eclipse that's going to occur this August. I know I'm extremely excited and have been looking forward to it for at least five years. My area is close to one of the best viewing sites in America and well go completely dark for 2 minutes and 30 seconds I believe. Anyways just thought I'd throw the idea out there as it's sure to be a heavily discussed topic as we get closer.
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We will likely add a space weather forum soon! And YES I agree.. that eclipse is going to be epic.

In fact, you know what? I'll go ahead and add the forum and create the thread about it.
 
The February discussion is a trip down memory lane, recalling the glories of the past. LOL that bodes well.


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Btw, in case anyone is interested, here's a link to the poster I presented at AMS earlier this week in Seattle as part of my undergraduate research @ NC State. I was able to actually get in touch with Klaus Wolter (the founder of the MEI) earlier today and he seemed interested in some of my work and expanding the applicability, confidence of, and revising both the MEI and Extended MEI in the coming year or so... I am hoping to get a paper published on this by some time next year
http://weatheradvance.com/home/weat...1/AMS-Project-Seattle-Conference-Jan-2017.pdf
 
Webberweather53 said:
Btw, in case anyone is interested, here's a link to the poster I presented at AMS earlier this week in Seattle as part of my undergraduate research @ NC State. I was able to actually get in touch with Klaus Wolter (the founder of the MEI) earlier today and he seemed interested in some of my work and expanding the applicability, confidence of, and revising both the MEI and Extended MEI in the coming year or so... I am hoping to get a paper published on this by some time next year
http://weatheradvance.com/home/weat...1/AMS-Project-Seattle-Conference-Jan-2017.pdf
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Awesome work... we are very fortunate to have you on this board not too mention someone doing the work you are doing! I see great things from you in the future, can't wait.
 
Webberweather53 said:
Btw, in case anyone is interested, here's a link to the poster I presented at AMS earlier this week in Seattle as part of my undergraduate research @ NC State. I was able to actually get in touch with Klaus Wolter (the founder of the MEI) earlier today and he seemed interested in some of my work and expanding the applicability, confidence of, and revising both the MEI and Extended MEI in the coming year or so... I am hoping to get a paper published on this by some time next year
http://weatheradvance.com/home/weat...1/AMS-Project-Seattle-Conference-Jan-2017.pdf
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Hey Eric! Hope the new site is working better for ya!
 
metwannabe said:
Awesome work... we are very fortunate to have you on this board not too mention someone doing the work you are doing! I see great things from you in the future, can't wait.
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Thanks I'm glad you liked it! Yea, Klaus Wolter has been doing this since the 1980s and after meeting with him, it seems like we both agreed that the MEI could use some serious upgrades. I think it would be a great idea, along with the actual index ENS MEI.ext, to release several statistical parameters, including a series of upper/lower confidence levels that will provide users with a general idea of the potential range of uncertainties and intensities associated with each event as well as the confidence levels at which ENSO criteria are met for specified periods. This kind of analysis certainly wasn't possible several years or even ago, but with the release of several new SST reconstructions and reanalysis (including NOAA's 20th Century Reanalysis version 2c, COBE SST2, ERA-20CM, CERA-20C, ERSSTv4, etc.) it's now feasible to use a suite of statistically independent datasets to create a very smooth, coherent index, and derive inter-dataset variances, uncertainties, individual dataset biases, etc. In fact, given the very recent release of the Coupled 20th century ECMWF Reanalysis (CERA-20C) and upcoming release of the Hadley Centre Sea Ice and Sea Surface Temperature data set version 2 (HADISST2) I'll probably have to reanalyze the Ensemble Oceanic Nino Index (ENS ONI). Along with the ENS ONI & NCEP-NCAR MEI I've been running in real-time, I also hope to have ensemble-based versions of the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI), Bivariate ENSO Timeseries (BEST) (NINO 3.4 + SOI), and Multivariate ENSO indices out relatively soon!

Shawn said:
Hey Eric! Hope the new site is working better for ya!
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Yes, it's working out nicely, I definitely like the upgrades that were made to the site. :)
 
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